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The successor who was down the hall the whole time

Commercial real estate has no talent shortage, there is a shortage of leaders willing to build the next ones

She found out about her new boss the same way everyone else did: in a company-wide email.

For six years she had carried the firm's most complicated assets. She had covered for a vice president through two leaves, sat in on lender calls when no one else could make it, and trained three of the analysts now sitting on her team.

More than once she had been told she was "being groomed." Then, on an ordinary Monday morning, an announcement welcomed an external hire into the role she had been doing in everything but title. No one called her first. No one explained. Her manager stopped by her desk that afternoon and said, kindly, that the timing just wasn't right.

She was gracious in the meeting. She was gone in five months. When leadership looked back, they called it a retention problem.

It wasn't. It was a succession problem, and they built it themselves.

I have heard some version of that story more times than I can count, from both sides of the hiring table. It is one of the most expensive mistakes in our industry, and one of the most avoidable.

The shortage that isn't

For years, organizations have been sounding the alarm about a talent shortage. When I look across commercial real estate and development, I see something different. There is no shortage of talented people. There is a shortage of organizations willing to develop them on purpose.

The research says the same thing in starker terms. DDI's 2025 HR Insights Report found that only 20 per cent of chief human resources officers say they have leaders ready to step into critical business roles.

Four out of five organizations, in other words, would be scrambling if a key seat opened tomorrow. And seats are opening. A generation of leaders who built today's portfolios is moving toward retirement, others are changing firms, and leadership transitions are coming faster than most benches can absorb.

So companies do what feels safest. They go to market. They spend heavily on search and far less on sponsorship, stretch assignments and deliberate succession planning. The results are predictable: thin pipelines, exhausted executives holding too many portfolios, and capable people wondering why the opportunities they were promised never seem to arrive.

I say this as someone who earns a living placing leaders from the outside. An external search should be a strategic choice, not a reflex. When it becomes the default, it sends a message to everyone already in the building, and they hear it loud and clear.

Advice is not advocacy

For years, mentorship has been celebrated as the gold standard of career development. Mentorship matters. But advice alone rarely moves a career forward.

What most emerging leaders need is sponsorship. A mentor tells you how to get into the room. A sponsor says your name when you are not in it. Sponsors recommend people for the high-profile mandate, bring them into investment committee and lender conversations, and put their own credibility on the line so someone else gets a shot.

That last part is why sponsorship is so rare. It costs something. Mentorship asks for an hour over coffee. Sponsorship asks a senior leader to spend political capital on someone who has not yet proven themselves at the next level. That takes trust, and trust is exactly where many organizations come up short.

Trust is earned in ordinary moments

We talk about trust as though it simply appears one day. It doesn't. It is built through consistency, through showing up and listening, through delivering results and exercising sound judgment when the stakes are real. And yes, sometimes it is built by respectfully challenging the way things have always been done.

That is where the conversation gets uncomfortable. Many organizations say they want future leaders. What they actually want is future leaders who won't make anyone uncomfortable.

The comfort trap

The next generation of leaders will see the business differently than the people currently running it. They will ask harder questions about how assets are managed, how capital is deployed, how teams are built and who gets a seat at the table. They will challenge assumptions shaped by a market that no longer exists. Healthy organizations treat that as a strength. Unhealthy ones treat it as a threat.

Commercial real estate has a particular vulnerability here. Ours is a relationship business, and we are trained to do deals with people we know and trust. That instinct serves us well at the closing table. It serves us poorly in the promotion meeting.

Over time, some leadership circles drift into what can only be called a club mentality. Opportunities circulate among familiar faces. Advancement follows comfort and similarity rather than capability and potential. The people who think differently, push back or raise the difficult question quietly find themselves outside the conversations that matter.

Then the same organizations wonder why innovation stalls, why their pipeline keeps thinning and why their best emerging talent keeps showing up on a competitor's announcement.

You can't build strong succession on comfort. It has to be built on contribution.

Relationship capital, open to everyone

The future of work will increasingly reward what I call relationship capital. I am not talking about collecting business cards at industry events or racking up LinkedIn connections. I mean credibility built over time: people who consistently add value, support their colleagues, follow through on what they say and engage across functions. That kind of influence reaches far beyond a job title, and it opens doors.

But relationship capital cannot become the old gatekeeping in a nicer suit. It should not be reserved for people who simply fit in. It should be available to anyone who steps in, contributes and demonstrates leadership before they hold the title.

That cuts both ways. Emerging and mid-level leaders cannot wait to be discovered. They have to show up, raise their hand for the difficult assignment and make their ambitions known out loud. Organizations, in turn, must ensure that when someone does all of that, the path forward is visible and fair.

What deliberate succession looks like

Firms that get this right in the years ahead will not leave succession to chance or to a spreadsheet updated once a year for the board. They will name likely successors for every critical seat and, more importantly, tell those people. They will separate who is ready now from who could be ready in 18 months with the right exposure, then create that exposure: a seat on the investment committee, ownership of a lender relationship, a turn presenting the asset plan rather than just building it.

They will hold senior and executive leaders accountable for the leaders they develop, not just the deals they close. And when they do decide to go outside, they will have the courage to sit down with internal candidates first, explain why and lay out what it would take to be ready next time. That one conversation can be the difference between a disappointed employee and a departed one.

They will reward curiosity alongside competence and respectful challenge alongside alignment. And they will understand that succession planning is not an HR exercise. It is a leadership responsibility, and it belongs on the agenda of every executive who wants their work to outlast their tenure.

Who is ready to take your seat?

Every leader will be replaced one day. That is not a threat; it is a certainty. The only real question is whether you helped shape who comes next, or left it to a job posting.

The woman in that company-wide email did not need a perfect employer. She needed a leader willing to say her name in a room she wasn't yet invited into. Someone, eventually, did. It just wasn't anyone at the firm who trained her.

So here is my challenge. Before this quarter ends, write down the names of the people who could step into your role and the critical roles around you. Then pick up the phone and tell one of them what you see in them and what it will take to get there. If you cannot come up with a single name, that is your answer, and it is the most important problem on your desk.

Our industry's future does not depend on finding better talent. It depends on whether today's leaders are willing to develop the talent already in front of them. The strongest organizations are not the ones with the most impressive executives today. They are the ones already preparing the leaders who will take their place tomorrow.



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