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"CRE Matters" Columnists

Synthia Kloot Senior Vice President, Operations, Colliers International
Oliver Tighe Executive Managing Director, Commercial Appraisal Group, Colliers
Tanya Nicholson Director, Marketing, Landlord and Investment Sales, Colliers International
Madeleine Nicholls Managing Director, GTA, Colliers
David Bowden Vice Chairman, Head of Strategy and Consulting, Colliers Canada
Scott Bowden Head of Valuation & Advisory Services, Colliers Canada
Sarah Bramley and Amy Vuong Colliers International
Brendan Neeson Executive Director of Property Tax Services, Alberta, Colliers International
Lex Perry Vice President, Marketing, Communications and Research, Colliers Canada
Colliers National Multifamily Team, East, Colliers Colliers National Multifamily Team, East
Karl Innannen Managing Director, Broker, Colliers, Kitchener
Shiri Rosenberg Director of Asset Strategy, Innovation and Community Spaces, Colliers
Colin Alves & Jean-Marc Dube Colliers Toronto & Montreal
Janina Franceschutti Executive V-P, National Investment Services, Colliers Canada
Eric Horvath, CCIM Senior Vice President & Partner, Colliers
Adam Grisack Director, Valuation & Advisory Services, Colliers Canada
Eliezer Timolien Senior Research Analyst, Colliers
Robyn Baxter Senior Vice President & Co-Managing Director, Workplace Advisory, Colliers Canada
Arnold Fox Senior Vice President, Real Estate Broker, Montreal, Colliers
Alam Pirani Executive Managing Director, Colliers Hotels
Sarah Bramley Associate Vice President, Workplace Strategy & Innovation, Colliers
Bill Hennessey Managing Director, Moncton Brokerage, Colliers
Greg Taylor Managing Director, Halifax Brokerage, Colliers
Dayma Itamunoala Associate Vice President, Sales Representative, Toronto Brokerage, Colliers
Grant Evans Senior Vice President, Victoria Brokerage, Colliers
Lilian Kan Director, Development Management, Colliers Strategy & Consulting, Vancouver
Bonita Craig & Robyn Baxter Colliers Canada
Daniel Holmes President, Brokerage Services | Canada, Colliers
Sehaj Gill Associate Director, Property Tax Services, Colliers
Jane Domenico Senior Vice-President & National Lead, Retail Services
Robin McLuskie Managing Director, Canadian Hotel Brokerage, Colliers
Douglas Pulver Executive Managing Director, Colliers Vancouver
Tonya Lagrasta Head of ESG, Colliers Real Estate Management Services Canada
Pat Phillips Senior Vice President, Colliers Vancouver Brokerage
Rob Newman Senior Director of Property Tax Services, Colliers
Adam Jacobs Senior National Director, Research, Colliers Canada
Darrell Hurst Darrell Hurst, Senior Managing Director, Brokerage, Colliers
Jean-Marc Dubé and Arnold Fox Colliers Montreal
Robert Brazzell Managing Director, Ontario Property Tax Services, Colliers Canada
Damian Bernacik Director, Legal Services, Property Tax Services
Susan Thompson Associate Director of Research, Colliers Vancouver
Peter Garrigan, SIOR Executive Managing Director, Greater Toronto Area | Colliers Brokerage
Rob Purdy Executive Director, Colliers Canada’s Valuation and Advisory Services
Ryan McIver Senior Vice-President and Broker, Colliers Toronto

Recent

Bigger, stacked buildings and tech keys to future-proofing warehousing

It’s no secret Canada’s big-city industrial markets are out of balance. For too long, there’s bee...

It’s no secret Canada’s big-city industrial markets are out of balance. For too long, there’s been too much demand and too little space.

That’s an especially pressing issue when it comes to warehouse space in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal, which all face industrial vacancies that are flirting with sub-one per cent.

Given the insatiable demand for space by owners and occupiers, why should developers, builders and owners of warehouses even care at all about future-proofing their spaces? Isn’t having four walls, a roof and some parking spaces sufficient?

The truth is it’s not enough. Our economy is changing and diversifying, and our industrial warehouses and logistics spaces need to evolve as well if our big-city markets and the country’s overall economy are going to keep inflation under control while ensuring essential products are moving into, out of and around the country in a coherent manner.

Demand for warehouse spaces remains strong

Canada’s overall industrial market continues to experience strong demand across the country, with distribution, logistics and warehouse space being quickly snapped up by e-commerce, warehousing, manufacturing and other users, according to Colliers’ Q3 Canada overview report.

While there is nearly 32 million square feet of industrial space currently being built across the country, developers are losing the war with demand.

This means vacancy rates will continue to sink, while leasing rates and land prices surge.

Canada’s overall industrial vacancy is at 1.5 per cent. That’s a recipe that threatens to drag down Canada’s economy while seeing inflation worsen for consumer products, building materials, mechanical items and everything else Canadians and their businesses need to function.

E-commerce fuels demand acceleration

When it comes to our big-city industrial markets in Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver, the source of demand is pretty clear: logistics, logistics, logistics!

Right across the United States and Canada we’re seeing shoppers increasingly shifting to online retail. The pandemic has accelerated e-commerce and we’re likely to see our online retail rate double in Canada in coming years.

Meanwhile, we’re seeing our urban population increasing. Canada is poised to welcome hundreds of thousands of new immigrants in the next few years and many of these newcomers will settle in our largest cities, adding more demand to consumerism while establishing new businesses that require workspace.

Canada’s biotech industry is another bright light that will continue to expand, while the film industry in Metro Vancouver continues to punch well above its weight, creating competition for sound stages and industrial buildings that can be relied on for show business.

The future is huge

The first step toward future-proofing our warehousing market is to start planning, designing and building massive warehouse spaces.

Spaces larger than one million square feet will generate more interest than ever before as retailers and distributors and the Amazons of the world consolidate operations and try to keep pace with online buying power.

Not only should we build larger, but we also must build higher. The threshold today in terms of what would be considered the gold standard for large-bay ceiling heights is 40-feet clear.

Prologis is working on a project right now in Tracy, Calif., that’s being used as a test model that will include 50-feet clear ceiling heights.

It’s a 1.1-million-square-foot cross-loaded warehouse being built on spec that also includes 10-inch-thick reinforced concrete floors, a massive 8,000-amp power supply, a higher-than-typical number of trailer parking and auto stalls, and a 70-foot speed, or staging, bay. The building is also targeting LEED Silver certification.

Warehouse users of the future will increasingly demand features like these, as well as more spacious bays with fewer columns and larger staging areas of at least 60 feet across.

We need more tech-ready buildings

While we have yet to realize the potential of pure automation or robotics-driven distribution centres in Canada, it is coming.

There are companies spending significant capital on developing, building and installing automation and robotics systems that will require more flexible and tech-ready warehouse spaces.

The labour shortage challenges that have emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic have likely forced many logistics companies to speed up these plans to keep their operations moving forward, with or without people.

Robotics can work 24/7, so you’re getting a lot more output. The feedback has generally been “Yeah, we’re looking at robotics.”

Meantime, smart technologies that promote energy use reduction and touchless tech and improve security will also be must-haves in the coming years and decades.

Prioritize higher-density buildings in urban cores

Another key measure to future-proof our warehouses is to locate last-mile warehouse buildings near people, transit, amenities and services. That means putting up new high-density buildings near, or in, urban cores instead of in far-flung areas that are hard to get to and disincentivize talent recruitment and retention.

This will require more permitting, design and construction of stacked, or multilevel, industrial buildings that blend light industry, office space, food and beverage, and other creative- or service-oriented businesses.

The closer you are to people, the more simplified the distribution process becomes.

While our current industrial landscape in Canada suggests that simply adding space to the market will be sufficient to protect the future, it’s essential that we take measure of our economy and think about the businesses of tomorrow when planning our next generation of warehousing.



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